2 already perceived as a underperformance

The bet is won for Angela Merkel. Not only the outgoing Chancellor is renewed at the head of the Germany, as expected, but it is also able to form a coalition with its allies of choice, the Liberals of the FDP, which has carried out a historic score of 15. Christian unions (CDU and CSU) have certainly recorded a score very disappointing 33.5, still below the level of 2005 (35.2), already perceived as a underperformance. But the conservative camp gets a majority of seats in the Bundestag, in view of the voting system, which combines proportional and plurality direct suffrage. The head of the French State, Nicolas Sarkozy, sent to Chancellor his "warmest congratulations" Reaffirming "any price" it "attaches to the unique relationship between our two countries."

The Social Democrats, who had worked in the last days of the campaign a great rise in voting intentions, finally failed to mobilize their voters. They get around 23 of the vote, is their worst score since 1949, largely below the previous record of 1953 (28.8). Over the past four years, their profile is remarkably blunt and they have suffered from fierce competition from the radical left led by Oskar Lafontaine, who has collected almost 13 of the vote. Political scientists were yesterday waiting for a change of generation in the SPD, who will have to regenerate in opposition. Frank-Walter Steinmeier conceded "a bitter defeat for democracy." "A new role awaits us, the opposition", he said.

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The stormy negotiations to

Remains to be seen how the Chancellor Merkel position in the new coalition. As early as yesterday evening, it was understood that, despite the disappointing score of Christian Association, "report of force is not all the same with the SPD" in the grand coalition. And therefore "this new coalition will the opportunity to emphasize the values of the unions."Implication: the FDP will only play a minor role. FDP leader Guido Westerwelle, who intends to become Minister for Foreign Affairs, it is not entirely of this ear. There, meanwhile, celebrated a score historic and claimed "a tax system fair, improving the chances in the educational system and better protection of the rights of the citizens".

The coalition negotiations will begin may be rough on some points. Indeed the Chancellor, who claimed the centre of the political spectrum in the campaign, clearly expressed his opposition to the most radical measures of the programme of the FDP: relaxation of the law on the dismissals, repeal of the sectoral minimum wages, drastic tax reform or disruption of health insurance. Moreover, the CDU has an eye on regional elections of the Land of-du-North Rhine-Westphalia, which will take place in May 2010. The most populous Land of the country changed right in 2005, but, under the direction of Jürgen Rüttgers, the leader of the social wing of the CDU. A right marked turn, at the federal level, could harm. "I want to be the Chancellor of all Germans, to improve the situation of our country," said Angela Merkel. Christian Association and the FDP agreed however to go in terms of progressive output of nuclear energy adopted by Gerhard Schröder and extend the life of reactors considered safe.

The new coalition will have to rely on a resolute opposition. The SPD will have to be aggressive to get voters and the Greens yesterday conducted their best score: more than 10. The unions, which had been very supportive with the great coalition, should also be more aggressive.

Low participation

Participation fell yesterday to 72.5, even lower than in 2005 (77.7), previously the lowest level since the creation of the Federal Republic of Germany in 1949. Political commentators explained by atony of the campaign and the fact that Angela Merkel was almost sure to be renewed, regardless of the winning coalition.